Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 2.335354e-01 0.316715 0.414481 0.536000 0.681095 0.846948 1.048965
2026-02-08 1.319040e-01 0.230286 0.365499 0.556129 0.809081 1.124629 1.538998
2026-02-15 7.004608e-02 0.163394 0.314829 0.555460 0.905462 1.374135 2.026069
2026-02-22 4.232620e-02 0.131911 0.301126 0.598016 1.061421 1.714735 2.660686
2026-03-01 2.379883e-02 0.103725 0.280965 0.622928 1.191669 2.029801 3.284540
2026-03-08 1.179151e-02 0.078136 0.254044 0.627681 1.287825 2.300868 3.863112
2026-03-15 4.817385e-03 0.056082 0.223207 0.615688 1.351622 2.525128 4.385022
2026-03-22 1.957469e-03 0.043355 0.207424 0.627393 1.453834 2.811944 5.010102
2026-03-29 5.766394e-04 0.032368 0.189467 0.629002 1.535971 3.069850 5.601778
2026-04-05 6.714185e-05 0.022113 0.165710 0.610449 1.576611 3.260758 6.097755
2026-04-12 2.425829e-07 0.014782 0.145274 0.593228 1.615618 3.448672 6.594359
2026-04-19 NaN 0.010649 0.134087 0.596203 1.693563 3.704872 7.206174
2026-04-26 NaN 0.006313 0.114991 0.572424 1.715527 3.869390 7.685664
2026-05-03 NaN 0.004896 0.112646 0.597779 1.844671 4.229354 8.494485
2026-05-10 NaN 0.003173 0.103590 0.599265 1.921366 4.499136 9.165457
2026-05-17 NaN 0.002799 0.107537 0.645355 2.102226 4.965395 10.173869
2026-05-24 NaN 0.002129 0.106084 0.672280 2.241154 5.360093 11.074132
2026-05-31 NaN 0.001334 0.099213 0.677621 2.329973 5.665400 11.833271
2026-06-07 NaN 0.000659 0.088642 0.665114 2.374551 5.889098 12.460655
2026-06-14 NaN 0.000387 0.084636 0.677567 2.480479 6.232464 13.299158
2026-06-21 NaN 0.000180 0.078618 0.679310 2.559391 6.526293 14.059254
2026-06-28 NaN 0.000044 0.068789 0.659725 2.581686 6.710647 14.634933
2026-07-05 NaN 0.000004 0.060176 0.641527 2.604963 6.896824 15.217427